| 1. Identity statement | ||||
| Reference Type | Journal Article | |||
| Site | mtc-m21c.sid.inpe.br | |||
| Holder Code | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S | |||
| Identifier | 8JMKD3MGP3W34R/449D49P | |||
| Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21c/2021/03.02.19.11 (restricted access) | |||
| Last Update | 2021:03.02.19.11.42 (UTC) simone | |||
| Metadata Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21c/2021/03.02.19.11.42 | |||
| Metadata Last Update | 2024:01.23.13.55.57 (UTC) simone | |||
| DOI | 10.1002/joc.6818 | |||
| ISSN | 0899-8418 | |||
| Citation Key | AlvesChaMoiBroAnt:2021:AsRaVa | |||
| Title | Assessment of rainfall variability and future change in Brazil across multiple timescales  | |||
| Year | 2021 | |||
| Month | Jan. | |||
| Access Date | 2024, May 19 | |||
| Type of Work | journal article | |||
| Secondary Type | PRE PI | |||
| Number of Files | 1 | |||
| Size | 2279 KiB | |||
| 2. Context | ||||
| Author | 1 Alves, Lincoln Muniz 2 Chadwick, Robin 3 Moise, Aurel 4 Brown, Josephine 5 Antonio, Marengo José | |||
| ORCID | 1 0000-0001-8259-2262 | |||
| Group | 1 DIIAV-CGCT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR | |||
| Affiliation | 1 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 2 Met Office Hadley Centre 3 Bureau of Meteorology 4 Bureau of Meteorology 5 Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alertas de Desastres Naturais (CEMADEN) | |||
| Author e-Mail Address | 1 lincoln.alves@inpe.br | |||
| Journal | International Journal of Climatology | |||
| Volume | 41 | |||
| Number | S1 | |||
| Pages | E1875-E1888 | |||
| Secondary Mark | A1_GEOCIÊNCIAS A1_ENGENHARIAS_I A1_CIÊNCIAS_AMBIENTAIS A1_CIÊNCIAS_AGRÁRIAS_I A2_INTERDISCIPLINAR A2_BIODIVERSIDADE B1_CIÊNCIAS_BIOLÓGICAS_I | |||
| History (UTC) | 2021-03-02 19:11:42 :: simone -> administrator :: 2021-03-02 19:11:43 :: administrator -> simone :: 2021 2021-03-02 19:13:03 :: simone -> administrator :: 2021 2022-04-03 22:28:17 :: administrator -> simone :: 2021 | |||
| 3. Content and structure | ||||
| Is the master or a copy? | is the master | |||
| Content Stage | completed | |||
| Transferable | 1 | |||
| Content Type | External Contribution | |||
| Version Type | publisher | |||
| Keywords | Brazil climate change climate extremes rainfall variability | |||
| Abstract | Rainfall variability change under global warming is a crucial issue that may have a substantial impact on society and the environment, as it can directly impact biodiversity, agriculture, and water resources. Observed precipitation trends and climate change projections over Brazil indicate that many sectors of society are potentially highly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The purpose of this study is to assess model projections of the change in rainfall variability at various temporal scales over sub-regions of Brazil. For this, daily data from 30 CMIP5 models for historical (19002005) and future (20502100) experiments under a high-emission scenario are used. We assess the change in precipitation variability, applying a band-pass filter to isolate variability on daily, weekly, monthly, intra-seasonal, and El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) time scales. For historical climate, simulated precipitation is evaluated against observations to establish model reliability. The results show that models largely agree on increases in variability on all timescales in all sub-regions, except on ENSO timescales where models do not agree on the sign of future change. Brazil will experience more rainfall variability in the future that is, drier or more frequent dry periods and wetter wet periods on daily, weekly, monthly, and intra-seasonal timescales, even in sub-regions where future changes in mean rainfall are currently uncertain. This may provide useful information for climate change adaptation across, for example, the agriculture and water resource sectors in Brazil. | |||
| Area | CST | |||
| Arrangement | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção a partir de 2021 > CGCT > Assessment of rainfall... | |||
| doc Directory Content | access | |||
| source Directory Content | there are no files | |||
| agreement Directory Content |
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| 4. Conditions of access and use | ||||
| Language | en | |||
| Target File | alves_assessment.pdf | |||
| User Group | simone | |||
| Reader Group | administrator simone | |||
| Visibility | shown | |||
| Archiving Policy | denypublisher denyfinaldraft | |||
| Read Permission | deny from all and allow from 150.163 | |||
| Update Permission | not transferred | |||
| 5. Allied materials | ||||
| Next Higher Units | 8JMKD3MGPCW/46KUATE | |||
| Citing Item List | sid.inpe.br/bibdigital/2022/04.03.22.23 3 | |||
| Dissemination | WEBSCI; PORTALCAPES; COMPENDEX; SCOPUS. | |||
| Host Collection | urlib.net/www/2017/11.22.19.04 | |||
| 6. Notes | ||||
| Notes | Prêmio CAPES Elsevier 2023 - ODS 2: Fome zero e Agricultura sustentável | |||
| Empty Fields | alternatejournal archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel e-mailaddress format isbn label lineage mark mirrorrepository nextedition parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project resumeid rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarykey session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype url | |||
| 7. Description control | ||||
| e-Mail (login) | simone | |||
| update | ||||